COUNTING CONTRAILS

NASA Says Contrails Decreasing

by William Thomas

News item: NASA scientists say that despite a sharp increase in commercial air traffic over the United States in recent decades, contrails measured before the drastic decline in airline travel following 911 were already decreasing over the USA.

Here is a chemtrails koan certain to help speed enlightenment:

Conundrum: How can contrails be increasing when they are declining?
Answer: When they are really chemtrails and not contrails at all.

CONTRAILS OVER CONUS

NASA's 2002 "Estimation of CONUS Contrail Frequency" uses near real-time weather and flight data to conjure contrail formation and persistence over the entire Continental USA (CONUS).

Since an Airbus Industry study on the atmospheric impacts of nearly gridlocked jet flights every year jolted government and industry back in the 1980s, the environmental effects of contrails have become of increasing concern to governments and the corporations they supposedly regulate. Atmospheric studies such as SUCCESS, TARFOX and more recent offshoots have employed a variety of aircraft – from reconfigured airliners to the executive Cessna Citations sighted dispensing chemtrails over Arizona and Ohio – to spray atmospheric "tracers" trackable by satellite, LIDAR and other sophisticated sensors used to measure atmospheric responses to pollutants produced by people.

It turns out that just like natural overcasts, the cloud cover formed around jet pollutants also changes the heat balance that drive regional climate and local weather. By increasing Earth's reflectivity (albedo) while trapping heat near our planet's surface, artificial overcasts produced by airliners in heavily trafficked air corridors over the U.S. and North Atlantic are disrupting the “normal” feedback settings on the atmospheric thermostat formerly regulated by natural clouds.

But according to the recent NASA study, which considerably updates our awareness of contrail activity over the USA, Mexico and Canada, the impact of contrails globally remains more voodoo than science. We simply do not know much about the gigantic complex geo-biological systems we are tampering with, including their interdependencies and interactions. With cloud cover increasing as much as 20% in heavily trafficked regions of the U.S. since the jet age took off, the effects of contrails on local weather and climate are significant. [Chemtrails Confirmed]

More persistent chemtrails must make even stronger atmospheric impacts.

Computer models run by atmospheric sorcerers at the Lawrence Livermore National Lab – and trumpeted as a climatic cure-all by H-bomb inventor Edward Teller – predicted no net gain in atmospheric temperatures over 85% of the Earth despite an anticipated doubling in heat-trapping CO2 emissions if enough chemtrails could be spread to reflect about 1% of incoming sunlight back into space.

The Hughes patent, which provided a practical blueprint for this aerial sunscreen in 1994, declared that highly reflective particles laid down behind high-flying jets could "Lead To The Reduction Of Global Warming".

It hasn’t worked yet. But even as chemtrails continue to crisscross the skies, and thousands of North Americans complain of the “visual whitening appearance of the skies” warned about in the Hughes geoengineering plans, NASA says contrail coverage is declining.

Presented to the 10th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology

in Portland, Oregon in May 2002, the space agency's newest findings show that updated estimates of contrail coverage over the North Atlantic and central Europe "are significantly smaller than those given" in 1994.

The highest contrail concentrations, found over the Pacific Northwest, were also down significantly when the study was done in the winter of 2001, at a time when chemtrail sightings over Seattle and Portland remained heavy.

NASA IGNORES CHEMTRAILS, AT LEAST PUBLICLY

The computer algorithms used to estimate CONUS contrails were devised by David Duda at Hampton University in Virginia, Rabindra Palikonda of AS&M Inc. also in Hampton, and NASA's favorite chemtrails debunker, Patrick Minnis. This team's latest estimates of contrail coverage over the USA were developed from hourly meteorological analyses obtained by a continuously updated weather prediction computer model nicknamed the RUC-2, for Rapid Update Cycle-2. These weather predictions were then correlated with flight track data of commercial airliners supplied by FlyteTrax in aerially frenetic San Jose, California.

The NASA contrail study ignored chemtrails.


CONTRAILS CAUSE CONCERN

The good news amidst the many human hardships resulting from a collapsing airline industry is sharply reduced impacts on an increasingly erratic atmosphere. The proliferation of jets polluting the stratosphere and tearing further rents in Earth’s protective ozone layer was expected to grow 5% annually – before the traumatic events of 911 and airport security indignities chilled the flying public.

Nevertheless, the search to understand contrails continues, driven by the spectre of government penalties and regulatory restrictions on contrail pollution as the global climate crisis deepens. The US Air Force is also understandably keen to eliminate contrails which starkly pinpoint otherwise stealthy aircraft.

spray plane tracks over San Antonio, Texas 6/28/02

spray plane tracks over San Antonio, Texas 6/28/02

NASA ESTIMATES CONTRAIL COVERAGE OVER THE UNITED STATES

During three weeks in November 2001, FlyteTrax provided up-to-the-minute details on all commercial planes aloft over the continental USA. This database consisted of readouts on aircraft type, latitude, longitude and altitude updated every five minutes, around the clock.

Air traffic was charted on grids, each encompassing 10,000 square kilometers and extending from 20°N to 50°N, 135°W to 60°W. Within each grid at 40 kilometer intervals, detailed atmospheric profiles of temperature, humidity and horizontal and vertical wind speeds at ascending altitudes were derived from Rapid Update weather analyses.

All contrail activity over the USA, Canada and Mexico was then calculated by instantly analyzing aircraft type, fuel burn and existing atmospheric conditions as either consistent or inconsistent with the known parameters of contrail formation.

THE CASE OF THE DISAPPEARING CONTRAILS

"According to the classical contrail formation theory, contrails can persist when the ambient air is super-saturated" says NASA. This means that contrails can linger briefly whenever the humidity relative to ice formation is greater than 100 percent.

This means that persistent plumes left by military tankers on days of relative warmth and low to moderate humidity cannot be contrails. Instead, they must be artificially induced by spraying particulates into less-than-optimum atmospheric conditions.

The "Potential Persistent Contrail Frequency" for November 2001 showed the North American region with the highest contrail potential to be the Pacific Northwest. Other regions of high contrail frequency occurred in central Canada and the eastern Midwestern U.S. These areas potentially presented twice the number of contrails as the continental average.

But even when NASA's meteorological model was rejiggered with instructions to allow for super-saturation in less than ideal contrail conditions – in other words, to find more contrails –contrail activity declined.

In December 2001, when the maximum potential contrail frequency over the Pacific Northwest typically occurs, the distribution and magnitude of contrails "changed dramatically" said these authors, as a result of radical changes in weather patterns from November to December.

Computer-predicted contrail frequency for this the Pacific Northwest (my neighborhood) dropped well below continental averages. Yet, throughout the winter of '01, while fewer contrails than predicted were showing up over the U.S., photographs, video and sighting reports of persistent white plumes left by high-flying jets flooded the Internet.

chemtrails off California coast 1/5/03

UNHAPPY ‘TRAILS TO YOU

Try telling Leslie that contrails were declining. That same November, while a puzzled NASA wondered where all the contrails went, this school teacher drove from Las Vegas to Reno, over to Sacramento, up to Portland, then across Idaho and down through Wyoming into Denver and back to Las Vegas.

“And every bit of the way, they were spraying,” she recounts. “The range of the spraying was just phenomenal. We covered six states in four days and saw them everywhere."

Leslie became "very, very sick". It took almost two months for her lungs to clear from something "almost exactly like a whopping cough I got ten or so years ago that turned out to be a lung fungal infection."

Even atmospheric “experts” who ignore chemtrails agree that ice crystal condensation trails – or contrails for short – do not cause fungal infections in humans. But airborne colonies of UV-mutated molds and fungi brought down from the irradiated upper atmosphere by falling chemtrail particulates could certainly cause symptoms experienced by Leslie and tens of thousands of North Americans following chemtrail exposure.

So don’t forget to take your cayenne capsules every day. This warms the blood beyond the tolerance of the fungus now among us.

FEBRUARY FOLLIES

February is typically the coldest month over most of North America. In February 2001 and 2002, NASA's Patrick Minnis "found a maximum in persistent contrail frequency over the USA."

But NASA – his boss – reported that contrail coverage for CONUS that February "is smaller than expected".

Minnis must have been measuring chemtrails.

DIAL 911 FOR CHEMTRAILS

The NASA atmospheric scientist had already achieved national prominence for his studies of jet plumes during the emergency grounding order issued on Sept. 11, 2001. On Sept. 12, Minnis was cited in the Louisville Courier Journal and the New York Times for collecting "valuable data" on contrails during a period when the only planes in the air were nine military flights pluming the skies from Ohio to Virginia.

Tracking nearly deserted skies seemed a curious time to study contrails. But it was a perfect opportunity to keep tabs on chemtrails without interference from commercial contrails. The NASA research scientist explained how his team was able to chart “precisely how these contrails fanned out over five hours to form a shield of cirrus clouds covering over 24,000 square miles.”

As usual, the press parroted this bafflegab without checking the science it contradicted.

NASA's own contrail study "assumes the contrails persist for one hour only." Using NOAA's own numbers, NASA scientists further estimate that a rare persistent contrail "spreads to 2 km wide and has a length of 60 km" – hardly the monster Minnis mentions.

It was just “coincidence” that Minnis was measuring chemtrails being laid down from the state where that project is headed (at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base) all the way to the headquarters of the CIA. But the symbolism of chemtrail spraying by a government out of control was not lost on Americans who suspected White House facilitation of the terrible attacks on Washington and New York City the day before.

But more than nine planes were aloft.

On Sept. 11, after all commercial flights except the plane extricating bin Laden family members from FBI questioning were grounded across Canada and the United States, heavy chemtrail activity was reported over Vancouver, Canada, as well as Chicago and Columbus, Ohio, among other locations. On Sept. 12, I observed a USAF tanker laying chemtrails down the east coast of Vancouver Island, heading south towards Washington State. It had to be military because all commercial flights were grounded.

Reporting for Chemtrail Tracking USA in Houston, Lorie Kramer relayed chemtrails observations from Maidstone, Ontario; Indianapolis and Fort Wayne, Indiana; Lexington, Kentucky; southern Illinois; Detroit, Baltimore, Maryland and Eugene, Oregon.

Over Houston, Texas where no commercial jets were flying:

Between 4-6 am skies became filled with wispy chemtrails could not see planes during this time. Planes sighted about 25,000 ft up making CT’s at 5:57 am: two X’s made over skies in northwestern suburbs. One plane made one X and two planes made the second X. They then turned off the sprays and increased altitude and flew out of area going west. X’s remained in skies till at least 7:45 am. At 8:30 – 9 am two planes spotted over Livonia area making a chemtrail in shape of a circle. 10:30 am: Feather-like trails and lines present in the southern skies. Northern skies have lines that have spread out into chemclouds going east and west. Chemdome in place from Westland area to Troy and all areas in between.

North of Houston, “heavy grid spraying" sparked a call into area officials. “I saw the plane! No, this is not normal air traffic," this correspondent related, "because there is not supposed to be any air traffic."

And in Chicago, with all airliners grounded: “Last night between 1:15-1:30 a.m. I saw no less than 10 chemtrails overhead in the classic grid pattern…” [Chemtrails Confirmed]

STEADHAM'S STUDIES

If they are really interested in measuring the effects of various aerial activities on cloud cover, NASA wizards ought to contact Mark Steadham. To plumb the mystery plumes, the previous winter Steadham correlated 46 personal observations of jet traffic over Houston with airliner identification provided by a computer program called “Flight Explorer”. This consumer software also uses “real time” FAA tracking to plot commercial flight paths across the USA. It does not track military flights, which are identified only as unidentified aircraft.

After using “Flight Explorer” to identify the airliners and military aircraft passing overhead, Steadham timed their respective plumes. Some examples tell this chem tale:

12/02/00

11:00 am ~4-8 hrs. (military)

11:45 am ~2 minutes (commercial)

12:00 noon ~2 minutes 10 sec. (commercial)

12/08/00

08:50 pm 10 seconds (commercial)

01:00 pm ~4-8 hrs. (military)

01:00 pm 10 seconds (commercial)

12/21/00

08:50 am 20 seconds (commercial)

09:00 am ~4-8 hrs. (military)

09:40 am ~4-8 hrs. (military)

10:10 am 20 seconds (commercial)

Steadham also found:

All confirmed contrails lasting 15 seconds or less: 72%

All confirmed contrails lasting 30 seconds or less: 80%

All confirmed contrails lasting 2 minutes or less: 96%

THIS DOES NOT TRAX

But the elaborate NASA contrail study is fatally flawed, because it tells only part of the story of aircraft emissions over North America. The FlyteTrax data used by NASA to calculate contrails does not include military flights. All KC-10 and KC-135 "chemtrail planes" routinely tracked on the radar scopes of Air Traffic Controllers were ignored by this U.S. government agency's selective look at obscured skies..

Like the early computations of ozone depletion that blithely ignored the impacts of chloroflourocarbons (CFCs), factoring out chemtrails makes a mockery of any study set up to examine climate change. Even when they found contrails diminishing, while sightings of long-lingering jet plumes were increasing, NASA’s nabobs never looked up to check computer findings that once again proved the adage, “garbage in, garbage out.”

Or as the military would put it – whether covering up the nuking of Iraq with radioactive depleted uranium, or all those chemtrails sparkling like haze on ATC radar screens – “What you don’t look for, you can’t find.”

For NASA atmospheric “experts”, Greenpeace climate campaigners, and other specialists supposedly concerned with global climate change to ignore massive chemtrail coverage in their calculations invalidates their science, pronouncements and campaigns. Describing the sky with your eyes tight shut would be hilarious – if the species-limiting consequences of such denial were not so dire.

A QUESTION FROM THE BACK OF THE ROOM

If normal, short-lived contrails can affect climate and weather – what the hell are long-lingering, region-obscuring chemtrails doing to disrupt an increasingly Chaotic atmos-fear?

Some of us Guinea pigs, not yet fully lobotomized by brain-inhibiting anti-depressants, electromagnetic emanations, and hypnotically-beamed mass media mesmerization want to know to this and a few related questions.

We are not going away.

Chemtrails perpetrators take note: Too many people know what’s going on. Thanks to the Internet, more and more are waking up and tuning in every day. Some day soon the war crimes trials now being prepared to try American generals and an unelected president for atrocities committed in Iraq and Afghanistan will be broadened to include capital crimes against the environment.

Maybe then we will get some answers.